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Tottenham have only made the quarter finals of the Champions League once in their history. They have an incredible chance to do so again having beaten Borussia Dortmund 3-0 in the first leg of their round of 16 tie three weeks ago.
Only seven teams have ever recovered from losing the first leg of the Champions League (including the European Cup) 3-0. The bookmakers don’t rate Dortmund’s chances of becoming the eighth against a team of the quality of Tottenham but a lot has changed in three weeks.
Tottenham have lost two and drawn one of their three matches since their incredible second half performance against Dortmund. Things haven’t been much better for Dortmund though who saw their points lead over Bayern Munich evaporate after losing to FC Augsburg on Friday night. Lucien Favre has at least been able to welcome back Paco Alcacer and Marco Reus, both of whom were absent at Wembley, so the home fans at Signal Iduna Park won’t be giving up hope just yet.
Borussia Dortmund Evens (Unibet)
Tottenham 13/5 (bet365)
Draw 14/5 (Sportingbet)
(Please note all odds are correct at time of article publishing)
Neither side were anywhere close to their best on the weekend. Fans of both will hope that’s because they had half an eye on Tuesday night’s match rather than it being an indicator of any underlying issues. Neutrals won’t mind either way as long as they get served up with an entertaining match. The way that both the two teams play you’d have to think there is no doubt that’s what we’ll see.
The big question for Tottenham is all about mentality. Mauricio Pochettino knows that his players cannot simply sit back and hope to see the tie out but equally an overly attacking mentality in the search of a killer away goal may open them up too much and hand the impetus to the home side.
The task for Dortmund is much more straightforward despite also being much more difficult. They must be at their very best from an attacking standpoint whilst remaining in control of the game so as to stop Tottenham from killing the tie off.
As the bookies’ odds show, this is a finely balanced match. Dortmund surely have the edge at home though and can take heart from the way that they played in the first half at Wembley. The coming weeks will prove to be pivotal in Dortmund’s future and they can at least make a fist of the comeback against Spurs by winning the match at evens with Unibet.
Draw 1-1 @ 13/2 (Betfred)
Dortmund 2-1 @ 15/2 (Ladbrokes)
Dortmund 1-0 @ 9/1 (Coral)
Dortmund 2-0 @ 11/1 (Sportingbet)
Tottenham 2-1 @ 12/1 (bet365)
Draw 2-2 @ 12/1 (Betfair)
With so many high class forwards and attacking midfielders on show and a game that promises goals the Correct Score market is a very tough one to call. As ever, that also means there is large amount of opportunity for those willing to take a risk.
Dortmund have more than enough about them to score multiple goals against a Tottenham defence which has not exactly been watertight of late. You can say the same about the home side though so it is tough to imagine that the game will go by without both teams scoring.
With Favre’s men set to take the game to Tottenham right from the off the goals should come early and often. At some stage, Spurs are likely to utilise their lightning pace on the counterattack to put the tie to bed so the Dortmund 3-1 correct score (13/1 with Sportingbet) looks a good fit for an all action match in which Spurs just about do enough to qualify.
Harry Kane 4/1 (William Hill)
Marco Reus 24/5 (Unibet)
Paco Alcacer 5/1 (Paddy Power)
Son Heung-min 6/1 (888Sport)
Jadon Sancho 7/1 (Unibet)
Fernando Llorente 15/2 (Paddy Power)
Maximilian Philipp 15/2 (William Hill)
Mario Götze 8/1 (Paddy Power)
Harry Kane’s reputation as one of the very best strikers in Europe is confirmed with the fact that he is top of a First Goalscorer market that’s packed with top class attacking talent. The Tottenham and England captain will do all he can to lead by example but it’s safer to bet on him to be Spurs’ first goalscorer as Dortmund are the side most likely to open the scoring.
The incredibly talented Jadon Sancho is a popular option to score first at 7/1 with Unibet. We wouldn’t put anybody off backing the England international but it’s the returning Paco Alcacer who gets the nod at 5/1 with Paddy Power. The Spaniard has been excellent this season and scored his first goal of 2019 against Fortuna Dusseldorf. He has every chance of scoring the game to breathe life into this tie.
Dortmund to win at evens with Unibet
Paco Alcacer to score first at 5/1 with Paddy Power